Should You Buy, Sell, or Hold FMS Stock Before Q1 Earnings?

Core Viewpoint - Fresenius Medical Care (FMS) is set to report its first-quarter 2025 results, with expectations of revenue growth and improved earnings per share compared to the previous year [1][9]. Performance Drivers - The FME25 transformation program has delivered EUR 567 million in cumulative savings, aiding in operational efficiencies across various functions [2][12]. - Positive momentum in U.S. same-market treatment growth was noted, with a 0.5% increase in the fourth quarter of 2024, indicating successful clinic operations [3][6]. Segment Analysis - The Care Enablement segment experienced a 10% organic revenue increase and a six-fold rise in operating income, reaching a margin of 7.8% [4][7]. - The Care Delivery segment showed stabilization with slight growth in treatment volumes, although it continues to face challenges from elevated mortality rates and labor shortages [6][5]. Financial Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenues is $5.25 billion, reflecting a 2.3$0.43, indicating a 19.4% improvement [9][10]. Long-Term Growth Potential - FMS aims for EUR 750 million in sustainable cost savings by the end of 2025, an increase from the previous target, with significant operational improvements already achieved [12]. - The upcoming launch of the FDA-approved 5008X Hemodiafiltration system is expected to enhance patient outcomes and drive growth [13]. Value-Based Care Strategy - The company is expanding its value-based care model through InterWell Health, managing over $11 billion in medical costs, with expectations of breakeven performance in 2025 [14].