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北路智控(301195):营收稳健增长 无人驾驶成为未来增长新势力

Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 1.129 billion yuan for 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 12.05%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 10.56% to 201 million yuan [1] - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 249 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.41%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 42 million yuan, up 14.64% [1][2] Financial Performance - The company's revenue for 2024 was 1.129 billion yuan, with a gross margin of 41.73%, down 4.22 percentage points year-on-year [2] - R&D expenses increased by 27.69% in 2024, contributing to short-term profit pressure [2] - In Q1 2025, the gross margin improved to 43.61%, up 1.92 percentage points year-on-year, with significant reductions in sales, management, and R&D expense ratios [2] Product and Technology Development - The company is leveraging cutting-edge technologies such as IoT, software, 5G, and AI to expand into new sectors, including non-coal mining and chemicals [3] - The successful development of an underground autonomous mining vehicle by the end of 2024 marks a significant milestone, with initial acceptance of a project in collaboration with Shaanxi Coal Group [3] - A partnership with Xingshun New Materials for underground intelligent transportation, including autonomous electric vehicles and smart driving systems, indicates the expansion of autonomous operations in non-coal mining [3] Investment Outlook - The company is expected to see revenues of 1.354 billion, 1.612 billion, and 1.894 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, with net profits of 256 million, 322 million, and 395 million yuan respectively [4] - A target price of 48.5 yuan is set based on a 25x PE ratio for 2025, maintaining a "recommended" rating [4]