《阿凡达》《碟中谍》全中枪！特朗普拟征“电影关税”，美专家：将对美电影造成毁灭性打击

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses President Trump's proposal to impose a 100% tariff on movies produced abroad, citing concerns over the impact of foreign incentives on the U.S. film industry and national security threats posed by this trend [1][8]. Group 1: Impact on the Film Industry - Hollywood is experiencing a significant decline, with a nearly 40% drop in film and television production in Los Angeles over the past decade [4]. - In 2024, U.S. spending on film and television projects exceeding $40 million is projected to be $14.54 billion, a 26% decrease from 2022, while countries like the UK and Canada have seen increases in their film production budgets [5]. - The preference for filming locations has shifted away from the U.S., with Toronto, the UK, and Vancouver being favored over California, which ranks sixth [5]. Group 2: Tax Incentives and Competition - Other countries are enhancing their tax incentives to attract film production, with the UK, Australia, and Canada implementing significant tax breaks that benefit local economies [6]. - For instance, the UK has updated its tax relief policies, and Australia has increased its location compensation to 30%, creating a total incentive value of about 40% for large productions [6]. - California's Governor Newsom has proposed raising the state's film tax credit cap from $330 million to $750 million to combat the trend of film production moving overseas [7]. Group 3: Challenges of Tariff Implementation - There is considerable uncertainty regarding the implementation of Trump's proposed tariffs, including questions about the legality and practical execution of such measures [8]. - Experts express skepticism about the feasibility of applying tariffs to films, as service trade is generally considered intangible and not subject to traditional tariffs [9]. - The complexities of service trade regulations and the potential for retaliatory measures from other countries could lead to significant repercussions for the U.S. film industry [1][9].