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Canadian Natural to Report Q1 Earnings: What's in the Offing?
CNQCanadian Natural Resources(CNQ) ZACKS·2025-05-05 10:35

Core Viewpoint - Canadian Natural Resources Limited (CNQ) is expected to report first-quarter results on May 8, with earnings estimated at 73 cents per share and revenues of 6.8billion,reflectingayearoveryearincreaseinbothearningsandrevenues[1][3].Group1:PreviousQuarterPerformanceInthelastreportedquarter,CNQmissedtheconsensusearningsestimate,reportingadjustedearningspershareof66centsagainstanexpectationof69cents,whiletotalrevenuesof6.8 billion, reflecting a year-over-year increase in both earnings and revenues [1][3]. Group 1: Previous Quarter Performance - In the last reported quarter, CNQ missed the consensus earnings estimate, reporting adjusted earnings per share of 66 cents against an expectation of 69 cents, while total revenues of 6.8 billion exceeded estimates by 6.3% due to increased product sales [2]. - CNQ has had a mixed earnings surprise history, beating estimates twice in the last four quarters and missing twice, with an average surprise of 0.7% [2]. Group 2: Estimate Revisions and Predictions - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for first-quarter 2025 earnings has remained unchanged over the past week, indicating a 43.14% year-over-year increase, while revenue estimates suggest an 11.21% increase from the previous year [3]. - CNQ's revenues are projected to rise to 6,395millionintheupcomingquarter,upfrom6,395 million in the upcoming quarter, up from 6,115 million in the same quarter last year, driven by strong performance in the Exploration & Production and Oil Sands Mining and Upgrading segments [5]. Group 3: Production and Operational Highlights - CNQ's oil sands mining and upgrading assets have shown strong production, averaging about 634,000 bbl/d in January and February 2025, with February marking the highest monthly gross production in its history at approximately 640,000 bbl/d [4]. - The company recently completed a swap with Shell, acquiring a 10% interest in the Scotford Upgrader and Quest Carbon Capture facilities, which enhances its production capacity by 31,000 bbl/d [3]. Group 4: Expense Considerations - CNQ is facing rising expenses across various segments, with North Sea expenses expected to increase to 254.2millionfrom254.2 million from 140 million year-over-year, and Offshore Africa expenses anticipated to rise to 88.6millionfrom88.6 million from 70 million [6]. - The Oil Sands Mining and Refining expenses are projected to increase to 2,186.5millionand2,186.5 million and 254.3 million, respectively, compared to 2,139millionand2,139 million and 241 million in the previous year [6].