ZACKS·2025-05-05 19:35Core Insights - Uber and Lyft are set to report their first-quarter 2025 earnings, with Lyft generating nearly all its revenue from ridesharing and holding about 25% of the U.S. market, while Uber dominates with approximately 75% market share [1][9] Earnings Expectations - Analysts predict Lyft will report flat EPS with gross bookings growth between 10-14%, while Uber is expected to report earnings of $0.51 per share, recovering from a loss last quarter, with gross bookings growth between 17-21% [2] Market Reactions - The options market indicates an expected post-earnings move of ±7.8% for Uber and ±15.6% for Lyft, reflecting traders' anticipation of volatility [3] Competitive Landscape - Uber has shown significant price performance, with shares up 43% year-to-date, compared to Lyft's 0.5% gain, highlighting Uber's relative strength in the market [4] - Uber's diverse business model, including its successful Uber Eats delivery service, contrasts with Lyft's more singular focus on ridesharing [5] - Uber has established partnerships for autonomous ride-sharing with companies like Nvidia and Volkswagen, positioning itself strongly in the robotaxi sector [6] Robotaxi Developments - The growth of robotaxi services, exemplified by Waymo's 250,000 paid rides per week, raises questions about Uber and Lyft's adaptation to this trend [10][11] - Lyft has made some moves in the robotaxi space, including a partnership with Mobileye, but is perceived to be lagging behind Uber in this area [11] Profitability and Growth - Both companies have reached profitability in 2023 after years of losses, indicating a significant shift in their financial health [12] - Historically, Lyft and Uber have exceeded Wall Street expectations, with Lyft beating estimates for eight consecutive quarters and achieving an average surprise of 42.11% over the past four quarters [14] Technical Analysis - Uber's stock has shown strong relative price strength and is emerging from a bullish pattern, while Lyft's stock is approaching a pivotal technical zone, indicating potential for change depending on upcoming earnings [16][18] Conclusion - As Uber and Lyft prepare to release their earnings, key areas of focus will include future growth prospects, robotaxi strategies, and overall performance in the evolving ride-sharing industry, with Uber currently positioned as the market leader [20]