诺安基金邓心怡：聚焦AI大模型应用、半导体国产化、机器人三大核心领域

Core Insights - AI is becoming the core engine of the next technological cycle, with the rise of domestic companies like DeepSeek igniting an industrial application boom [1] - The focus should be on China's technology, particularly the evolution of large model capabilities and the investment opportunities in semiconductor localization and humanoid robot mass production [1][6] AI Technology Developments - AI models are experiencing rapid iteration and cost reduction, with large models advancing in multi-modal and reasoning capabilities [2] - Domestic companies like DeepSeek and Alibaba Cloud are significantly lowering inference costs, making high-performance models more accessible for commercial applications [2] - The rise of open-source ecosystems is challenging traditional closed-source models, fostering new business paradigms [2] Application Areas - Attention should be given to application fields that already possess customer, scenario, and data resources, leveraging AI model functionalities [3] - The semiconductor localization sector, including domestic GPU chips and semiconductor equipment, is crucial for the implementation of AI models and applications [3] Humanoid Robots - Humanoid robots are seen as a key vehicle for AI technology transitioning from virtual to physical reality, with mass production being the core challenge [4] - The year 2025 is anticipated to be a pivotal year for humanoid robot mass production, supported by China's efficient supply chain [4] - Investment should focus on high-tech barriers and areas with significant capacity gaps, such as screws, reducers, motors, and joint modules [4] Policy and Market Dynamics - The policy framework from top-level design to local planning is showing effectiveness, with startups and large companies forming an ecosystem [5] - The dual drive of domestic policies and market dynamics presents investment opportunities in humanoid robot companies and their supply chains [5] Strategic Focus Areas - The emphasis for the year should be on China's technology, particularly in large model capabilities and application fields with customer and data advantages [6] - AI is expected to empower various industries, including marketing, education, and biomedicine, while semiconductor localization remains a foundational element [6] - Humanoid robots are identified as a strategic emerging industry, with a focus on resolving mass production issues and enhancing software and model capabilities [6]