Wolfspeed(US:WOLF) Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-05-06 13:17Core Viewpoint - Wolfspeed has experienced significant stock volatility due to short-squeeze events and is focusing on improving its capital structure and cost-cutting measures while facing challenges in revenue and debt management [2][7][8]. Company Performance - Wolfspeed's stock price has dropped over 80% in the past two years, with a steady decline in revenue since 2016, although there has been some growth since 2020 [4]. - The company currently has a high debt burden exceeding $4 billion, which raises concerns about its financial stability if cash flow issues persist [7]. Financial Guidance - The company has reaffirmed its revenue guidance for 2025, expecting revenues between $170 million and $200 million, with gross margins projected between -3% and 7% [9]. - Earnings per share are anticipated to range from -$0.88 to $0.76, with potential volatility based on deviations from these estimates [11]. Operational Developments - Wolfspeed is undergoing a restructuring plan that includes a 20% workforce reduction and aims to achieve $200 million in revenue by fiscal year 2026 [13]. - The company is also speculated to receive $750 million in funding from the CHIPS Act, although this has not yet been approved [15][16]. Market Position and Future Prospects - The Mohawk Valley wafer plant is seen as a growth engine, with last quarter revenues of $52 million and expected revenues between $5.5 billion and $7.5 billion for the upcoming quarter, heavily reliant on the electric vehicle market [11]. - Wolfspeed's stock has shown bullish momentum, with potential to reach the $6 mark, indicating a favorable technical setup despite ongoing challenges [21].