MarketAxess to Post Q1 Earnings: Here's What to Expect From the Stock

Core Viewpoint - MarketAxess Holdings Inc. is expected to report first-quarter 2025 results on May 7, 2025, with earnings estimated at $1.82 per share and revenues of $210.6 million, reflecting a 5.2% decrease in earnings year-over-year but a 0.2% increase in revenues [1][2] Financial Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for MarketAxess' 2025 revenues is $870.2 million, indicating a year-over-year rise of 6.5%, while the earnings per share estimate is $7.59, suggesting a growth of approximately 4.3% year-over-year [2] - First-quarter earnings estimates have been revised downward over the past 60 days, with the current projection indicating a decrease from the previous year's earnings [1] Earnings Performance History - MarketAxess has a strong track record of exceeding earnings estimates, having beaten the consensus estimate in each of the last four quarters with an average surprise of 2.9% [3] Earnings Prediction Model - The current model does not predict an earnings beat for MarketAxess, as it has an Earnings ESP of -0.41% and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [4] Trading Volume Insights - Higher trading volumes and market share gains in credit product lines are expected to boost credit commission revenues, with a projected 23.6% year-over-year increase in total trading volume [6] - Solid trading volumes in the international business are anticipated to drive overall commissions, with Eurobonds trading volumes expected to grow by 15.4% year-over-year [7] Commission and Revenue Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for commissions is $185.4 million, reflecting a 0.3% growth from the prior-year quarter [9] - Information services revenues are estimated at $13 million, indicating a 9.3% rise from the previous year [9] Expense Projections - Total expenses are expected to rise to approximately $128.1 million in the first quarter, marking a nearly 9% year-over-year increase due to higher employee compensation and technology costs [11]