


Core Viewpoint - The recent OPEC+ meeting revealed an unexpected increase in production plans, indicating a shift in OPEC+'s stance on oil price support since 2022, raising concerns about future diplomatic negotiations [1][3]. Production Changes - The production increase plan exceeded expectations, with an additional adjustment of 411,000 barrels per day announced for June, accelerating the previous production schedule by three months [1][2]. Market Sentiment - OPEC's statement characterized the current market fundamentals as "relatively healthy," despite the significant increase in production, which may lead to downward pressure on oil prices [2][3]. Supply-Demand Dynamics - The global oil supply-demand structure is transitioning to a "loose balance" state, with potential oversupply if OPEC continues to increase production, which could exacerbate downward pressure on the oil market [4]. Future Outlook - The company maintains a preference for gold over copper and oil in the commodity market, anticipating that ongoing supply and risk events will keep international oil prices weak and volatile [5].