Group 1 - Thailand is a manufacturing hub in the region, with exports accounting for over 60% of its GDP [1] - The impact of Trump's tariff policy could result in economic losses of up to 800 billion THB (approximately 24 billion USD), which is about 4% of Thailand's GDP [1] - The US is Thailand's largest export market for 2024, with exports to the US reaching 55 billion USD last year [1] Group 2 - Thailand faces a 36% tariff under the US's comprehensive tariff measures, making it one of the most affected Southeast Asian countries [1] - If a tax reduction agreement is not reached within the "90-day grace period" provided by the US, Thailand's economic outlook will be negatively impacted [1] - Thailand's GDP growth was 2.5% last year, but failure to negotiate lower tariffs could reduce this year's growth rate by at least 1 percentage point [1] Group 3 - The Federation of Thai Industries (FTI) estimates that the "reciprocal" tariff rate could range from 10% to 15%, potentially causing losses of 200 to 300 billion THB [1] - The actual tariff framework announced by the US exceeds simple reciprocal calculations, with potential economic losses estimated at 700 to 800 billion THB [2] - The automotive industry is the first to be impacted, as the US is the largest export destination for Thai automotive parts [2] Group 4 - The automotive sector experienced a significant decline last year, with annual sales dropping by 26% to 573,000 units and exports decreasing by 8.8% to 1.01 million units [2] - High tariffs may force local companies to consider mergers, layoffs, or even closures [2] - The processed food and seafood industries, which previously enjoyed zero tariffs, are also likely to be severely affected [3] Group 5 - Thailand has chosen to indefinitely postpone negotiations rather than confront the issue directly, allowing more preparation time and expressing dissatisfaction with US economic dominance [3]
泰国或受到240 亿美元冲击!但不屈服
Jin Tou Wang·2025-05-07 06:22