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兖矿能源(600188):煤价下跌拖累业绩 资源持续扩张高成长
Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-05-07 06:30

Core Viewpoint - The company is experiencing a significant decline in coal prices, which has negatively impacted its performance, but the worst may be over. The drop in coal prices has led to a recovery in chemical profit margins, and the company continues to expand its resources towards a target capacity of 300 million tons [1][3]. Financial Performance - The company reported total revenue of 30.3 billion yuan for Q1 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 23.53%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 2.7 billion yuan, down 27.89% year-on-year. The earnings per share (EPS) forecasts for 2025 to 2027 are maintained at 1.09, 1.23, and 1.35 yuan respectively [2][3]. Coal Production and Sales - In Q1 2025, the company produced 36.8 million tons of commercial coal, an increase of 6.26%, while sales volume was 31.4 million tons, a decrease of 8.07%. The decline in sales was primarily due to weak market demand and a drop in trade coal volume. The average price of self-produced coal was 543 yuan per ton, down 132 yuan per ton year-on-year, with a production cost of 317 yuan per ton, down 52 yuan per ton year-on-year [3]. Chemical Business Performance - The company’s coal chemical products, including methanol, acetic acid, and urea, had a total production of 2.414 million tons in Q1 2025, an increase of 11.55%, and sales of 2.018 million tons, up 7.28%. The coal chemical segment generated revenue of 6.3 billion yuan, a slight increase of 0.66%, while sales costs decreased by 7.08%, leading to a gross profit of 1.5 billion yuan, up 39.08% year-on-year [4]. Resource Expansion Plans - The company is advancing its resource expansion plans, aiming for a target capacity of 300 million tons. Key projects include the first phase of the Wucaiwan open-pit mine in Xinjiang, which is progressing rapidly with a planned production of 10 million tons by 2025. Additionally, the company plans to acquire a 51% stake in Northwest Mining, which has a total approved capacity of 61.05 million tons per year [4].