Fidelis Insurance (US:FIHL) ZACKSยท2025-05-07 15:06Core Viewpoint - The market anticipates a year-over-year decline in earnings for Fidelis Insurance Holdings (FIHL) despite an increase in revenues when it reports its results for the quarter ended March 2025 [1][3]. Earnings Expectations - The consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming report is a loss of $0.43 per share, reflecting a significant year-over-year decline of 158.1% [3]. - Revenues are projected to reach $656.08 million, which represents a 26.2% increase compared to the same quarter last year [3]. Estimate Revisions - Over the last 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 2.53%, indicating a collective reassessment by analysts [4]. - The Most Accurate Estimate for Fidelis Insurance is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -16.28%, suggesting a bearish outlook from analysts [10][11]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates that a positive or negative reading can predict the likelihood of actual earnings deviating from consensus estimates, with positive readings being more reliable [7][8]. - Stocks with a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 1, 2, or 3 have historically shown a nearly 70% chance of delivering a positive surprise [8]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Fidelis Insurance was expected to post a loss of $1.08 per share but delivered a loss of $1.05, resulting in a positive surprise of 2.78% [12]. - Over the past four quarters, the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates twice [13]. Conclusion - Fidelis Insurance does not currently appear to be a strong candidate for an earnings beat, and investors should consider other factors when making decisions regarding this stock ahead of its earnings release [16].