Consumer Discretionary Stocks' Earnings to Watch on May 8: PLNT & More

Industry Overview - The Consumer Discretionary sector has experienced mixed performance in 2025 due to elevated inflation, high interest rates, and uncertainty in trade and fiscal policies, leading to cautious consumer behavior in discretionary spending categories [1] - Despite a relatively stable job market, inflationary pressures and rising living costs have constrained consumer spending ability [1] - Businesses in the sector face planning challenges due to unpredictable tariff developments affecting sourcing, pricing strategies, and inventory management [1] Earnings Performance - As of April 30, 43.3% of companies in the Zacks Consumer Discretionary sector, representing 60.9% of the sector's market capitalization, reported earnings, with 53.8% beating earnings estimates and 46.2% surpassing revenue estimates [2] - Year-over-year earnings increased by 4% on a 0.7% rise in revenues, influenced by inflationary pressures and fluctuating consumer sentiment, particularly among lower-income households [2] - First-quarter 2025 earnings for the sector are expected to increase by 0.8% year-over-year, a significant decline from the 19% growth in the previous quarter [4] Segment Performance - The leisure and recreation services segment has performed relatively well despite headwinds, driven by a shift in consumer preference towards experience-based spending in fitness, gaming, and entertainment [3] - However, the industry is facing challenges such as rising labor and supply costs, tightening pricing flexibility, and increased competition [3] Company-Specific Insights - Planet Fitness is set to report first-quarter 2025 results, with an Earnings ESP of +0.71% and a Zacks Rank of 3, indicating a potential earnings beat [5][6] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Planet Fitness's first-quarter 2025 revenues is $280.7 million, reflecting a 13.2% increase year-over-year, with EPS expected to be 62 cents, up 17% from the previous year [7] - Peloton Interactive is expected to report a revenue decrease of 13.7% year-over-year, with a consensus estimate of $619.7 million and a projected loss per share of 6 cents, an improvement from a loss of 45 cents in the prior year [9] - Xponential Fitness is anticipated to report a revenue decline of 4.3% year-over-year, with revenues pegged at $76.1 million and EPS expected to decline by 6.3% [11] - PENN Entertainment is projected to report first-quarter revenues of $1.7 billion, indicating a 5.9% growth year-over-year, with a consensus loss per share of 29 cents, improving from a loss of 79 cents in the previous year [13]