Grocery Outlet Q1 Earnings Surpass Estimates, Margin Expands

Core Insights - Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. reported first-quarter 2025 results with net sales slightly below expectations but year-over-year growth, while earnings exceeded estimates and improved from the previous year [1][3][10] Financial Performance - Adjusted earnings were 13 cents per share, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 7 cents and increasing 44.4% from 9 cents in the prior year [3] - Net sales reached $1.126 billion, slightly missing the estimate of $1.128 billion, but reflecting an 8.5% year-over-year growth [3] - Gross profit increased by 12.7% to $342.4 million, with gross margin expanding by 110 basis points to 30.4% due to improved inventory management [5] - Adjusted EBITDA rose 31.7% to $51.9 million, with an adjusted EBITDA margin increase of 80 basis points to 4.6% [5] Store Operations - The company opened 10 new stores and closed one, totaling 543 stores across 16 states, with plans for 33-35 net new stores in 2025 [7] - Comparable store sales grew by 0.3%, driven by a 2.3% increase in transactions, although the average transaction size declined by 2% [4] Financial Health - As of the end of the first quarter, the company had cash and cash equivalents of $50.9 million, net long-term debt of $458.9 million, and stockholders' equity of $1.2 billion [8] - Net cash provided by operating activities was $58.9 million, with capital expenditures totaling $57.3 million [8] 2025 Outlook - Management anticipates net sales between $4.7 billion and $4.8 billion, with comparable store sales growth revised to 1-2% [11] - Full-year gross margin is expected to be in the range of 30-30.5%, with adjusted EBITDA projected at $260-$270 million and adjusted earnings per share of 70-75 cents [11] Restructuring Plan - A restructuring plan initiated in late fiscal 2024 aims to enhance long-term profits and cash flow, involving the termination of 28 store leases and cancellation of costly warehouse projects [12] - Total restructuring charges are expected to be between $59 million and $61 million, with a reduction in projected net interest expense to approximately $32 million for fiscal 2025 [13]