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Arista's Stock Hit As Analysts Cut Targets Over Tariff Uncertainty Despite Strong AI Demand
ANETArista(ANET) Benzinga·2025-05-07 20:33

Core Viewpoint - Arista Networks' stock experienced a decline following price target reductions by analysts, despite reporting strong first-quarter earnings that exceeded expectations in both EPS and revenue. Financial Performance - Arista Networks reported a first-quarter 2025 EPS of 0.65,surpassingbothGoldmanSachsanalystMichaelNgsestimateof0.65, surpassing both Goldman Sachs analyst Michael Ng's estimate of 0.62 and the FactSet consensus of 0.59,withrevenuereaching0.59, with revenue reaching 2.00 billion, above the consensus of 1.97billionandguidanceof1.97 billion and guidance of 1.93 billion to 1.97billion[1][2]Theadjustedgrossprofitwas1.97 billion [1][2] - The adjusted gross profit was 1.285 billion, slightly exceeding Ng's estimate of 1.277billionandtheconsensusof1.277 billion and the consensus of 1.243 billion, with gross margins of 64.1% beating Ng's and consensus estimates of 63.0% and 63.2% respectively [3] - Adjusted EBIT was reported at 957million,aboveNgsestimateof957 million, above Ng's estimate of 935 million and the consensus of 872million,withmarginsof47.8872 million, with margins of 47.8% exceeding Ng's and consensus estimates of 46.1% and 44.3% [3] AI Demand and Revenue Expectations - The company highlighted strong momentum in AI demand, projecting at least 750 million in back-end AI switching revenue in 2025 from its four major AI cluster projects, with 75% already in production [4] - Arista Networks anticipates a strong pull-through of front-end AI switching, although it acknowledged challenges in identifying specific products deployed in the front end [4] Tariff Impact and Guidance - The company estimated a potential gross tariff impact of 1.0% to 1.5% before mitigation efforts, primarily related to potential reciprocal tariffs in Malaysia/Vietnam [5] - Despite the positive performance in the first quarter, Arista Networks did not raise its full-year outlook for revenue, gross margins, or EBIT margins, citing a conservative approach due to uncertainties in the tariff environment [6] - For the second quarter of 2025, Arista Networks guided revenue of approximately $2.1 billion, adjusted gross margins of around 63%, and adjusted EBIT margins of about 46%, all exceeding consensus estimates [7] Full-Year Guidance - The company reiterated its full-year 2025 guidance, projecting revenue growth of 17%, adjusted gross margins of 60% to 62%, and adjusted EBIT margins of 43% to 44%, while maintaining its fiscal guidance unchanged due to tariff uncertainties [8]