Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article indicates that the recent mortgage rate cuts align with expectations, but the impact on housing sales may require cautious evaluation due to trade tariff pressures [1] - Morgan Stanley maintains a cautious industry outlook and recommends a defensive strategy, focusing on high-quality state-owned enterprises with good growth prospects [1] - Recommended stocks include consumer beneficiaries like China Resources Land (CR Land) and China Resources Mixc, as well as high dividend yield stocks such as C&D International Investment Group and Greentown Management [1] Group 2 - China Resources Land (01109) is expected to have a net asset value (NAV) of HKD 47.96 per share by 2025, which includes HKD 17.40 from development properties and HKD 32.72 from investment properties [1] - C&D International Group (01908) is projected to have a NAV of HKD 32.55 per share by 2025, with HKD 31.69 from development properties and HKD 1.01 from other business value [2] - Greentown Management (09979) applies a target price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 9 times to the estimated earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, based on comparisons with other real estate developers and management companies [2]
大摩:房贷政策进一步放宽助力地产板块 优质国企有望受益 推荐华润置地(01109)等