Market Overview - The spot prices for manganese silicon in major production areas have decreased, with Inner Mongolia at 5550 CNY/ton (-100), Guangxi at 5550 CNY/ton (-100), Ningxia at 5450 CNY/ton (-100), and Guizhou at 5500 CNY/ton (-100) [1] - On May 7, the manganese silicon futures contract closed at 5598 CNY/ton, up 0.68% (+38) from the previous day, with a decrease in main contract positions by 10,238 lots [1] Cost Analysis - The production cost in Inner Mongolia is 5750 CNY/ton (-11.1), while Guangxi's production cost is 6368 CNY/ton, with Inner Mongolia reporting a production profit of -200 CNY/ton (-89) [2] Manganese Ore Supply - NMT announced the shipping price for manganese ore to China for May 2025, with Mn35.5% South African semi-carbonate at 3.75 USD/ton, and Mn36.5% at 4.3 USD/ton [3] - The total global shipment of South African manganese ore is 458,600 tons, down 31.47% week-on-week, while Australian shipments increased by 13,689.65% to 105,200 tons [3] - The inventory of manganese ore at major Chinese ports is 4.055 million tons, up 328,000 tons week-on-week, with Tianjin port holding 3.199 million tons [4] Demand Insights - The weekly demand for manganese silicon from five major steel types is 128,211 tons, up 1.15% week-on-week, with daily pig iron production at 2.4542 million tons [5] - The steel mills' profit rate is reported at 56.28%, down 1.3 percentage points week-on-week [5] Industry Outlook - The manganese silicon main contract is experiencing fluctuations, with steel mills increasing procurement frequency but maintaining a strong price negotiation stance [6] - The production of manganese silicon is expected to continue to decrease, with some manufacturers in Ningxia facing deeper losses and reduced production enthusiasm [6] - The overall supply-demand balance for manganese silicon remains limited, with potential price weakness anticipated in the near term due to insufficient cost support [6]
锰硅：供需矛盾仍有待缓解 锰矿偏弱运行
Jin Tou Wang·2025-05-08 02:02