良信股份(002706)：多个下游共振 经营重回增长

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a strong performance in Q1 2025, with significant year-on-year growth in both revenue and net profit, indicating a positive trend in its business operations [1][4]. Revenue Summary - The company's Q1 2025 revenue reached 1.09 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 15.5% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 2.2% [1]. - This marks the first return to double-digit growth since Q3 2023 and the first revenue growth since Q2 2024, driven by the rapid growth in downstream installations in the new energy sector and potential growth in digital energy [2]. Profitability Summary - The net profit attributable to shareholders for Q1 2025 was 100 million yuan, up 15.1% year-on-year and a significant increase of 6896.5% quarter-on-quarter [1]. - The company's gross profit margin for Q1 2025 was 31.56%, a decrease of 0.82 percentage points year-on-year but an increase of 3.90 percentage points quarter-on-quarter, primarily due to changes in product mix [3]. Expense Summary - The total expense ratio for Q1 2025 was 19.71%, down 1.60 percentage points year-on-year, with reductions in sales, management, and R&D expense ratios due to the dilution effect from increased revenue [3]. - Specific expense ratios included a sales expense ratio of 8.09% (down 0.87 percentage points), a management expense ratio of 5.42% (down 0.21 percentage points), and an R&D expense ratio of 6.11% (down 0.73 percentage points) [3]. Balance Sheet Summary - As of the end of Q1 2025, the company's inventory was 441 million yuan, down 10.9% year-on-year and 6.0% quarter-on-quarter [3]. - Contract liabilities stood at 50 million yuan, up 83.1% year-on-year but down 15.3% from the previous quarter [3]. - Accounts receivable reached 748 million yuan, an increase of 34.9% year-on-year and 1.3% quarter-on-quarter [3]. - The asset-liability ratio was 27.15%, up 2.71 percentage points year-on-year but down 0.61 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [3]. Cash Flow Summary - The operating net cash flow for Q1 2025 was 54 million yuan, reflecting an increase of 86.9% year-on-year but a decrease of 67.2% quarter-on-quarter [3]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to see order growth outpacing revenue growth in Q1 2025, with a positive outlook for its growth trajectory driven by new energy, smart distribution, and data center businesses [4]. - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025 is 450 million yuan, corresponding to a PE ratio of approximately 21X [4].