Marriott Vacations Q1 Earnings Surpass Estimates, Revenues Lag

Core Viewpoint - Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation (VAC) reported first-quarter 2025 results with earnings exceeding expectations while revenues fell short, leading to an 8.1% increase in share price after hours due to a positive earnings outlook for 2025 [1][2]. Financial Performance - Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) for Q1 2025 were $1.66, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.56 by 6.4%, but down from $1.80 in the same quarter last year [2]. - Quarterly revenues reached $1.2 billion, missing the consensus estimate of $1.22 billion by 1.9%, but reflecting a year-over-year increase of 0.4% [2]. Segmental Performance - The Vacation Ownership segment generated revenues of $757 million, up from $730 million in the prior-year quarter [3]. - Total contract sales in the Vacation Ownership segment fell 2% year over year to $420 million, primarily due to a lower volume per guest, with first-time buyers contributing to the decline [4]. - Adjusted EBITDA for the Vacation Ownership segment was $221 million, a 4% increase from $213 million in the previous year, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 29.2%, unchanged year over year [5]. - The Exchange & Third-Party Management segment saw revenues decline 9% year over year to $56 million [5]. Membership and Revenue Metrics - Total active interval international members decreased by 2% year over year to 1.54 million, with average revenue per member declining 4% to $39.94 [6]. - Adjusted EBITDA for this segment was $28 million, down 13% year over year, with an adjusted EBITDA margin contracting by 230 basis points to 49% [6]. Corporate Results - General and administrative expenses for Q1 totaled $61 million, down from $63 million in the prior-year quarter [7]. - Total expenses increased by 1.2% year over year to $1.07 billion [7]. - Adjusted EBITDA for the company was $192 million, up 3% from $187 million in the previous year [7]. Balance Sheet - As of March 31, 2025, cash and cash equivalents were $196 million, slightly down from $197 million at the end of 2024 [8]. - The company had $3 billion in corporate debt and $2 billion in non-recourse debt related to securitized notes receivable [9]. 2025 Outlook - Management revised the contract sales expectation for 2025 to a range of $1.74-$1.83 billion, down from the previous estimate of $1.85-$1.925 billion [10]. - Adjusted EBITDA is now expected to be between $750 million and $780 million, with adjusted income anticipated in the range of $250 to $280 million [10]. - Adjusted EPS is projected to be between $6.40 and $7.10, an increase from the prior expectation of $6.30 and $7.00 [10]. - Adjusted free cash flow is expected to be in the range of $270-$330 million, down from the previous estimate of $290-$350 million [11].