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中国银行(601988):营收增速改善 资产质量平稳
Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-05-09 00:32

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a slight increase in revenue for Q1 2025, but net profit experienced a decline due to rising tax rates, indicating mixed performance in financial results [1][2][3]. Revenue and Profitability - Revenue for Q1 2025 reached 1649.3 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.6%, which is an improvement of 1.4 percentage points compared to 2024 [1][2]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders for Q1 2025 was 543.6 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 2.9%, a slowdown of 5.5 percentage points compared to 2024 [1][2]. Tax Impact - The effective tax rate for Q1 2025 rose to 20%, an increase of 3.5 percentage points year-on-year, which negatively impacted profit growth [3]. Asset and Loan Growth - Total assets grew by 6.9% year-on-year to 36 trillion yuan, with deposits increasing by 6.2% to 25.6 trillion yuan and loans rising by 8.3% to 22.6 trillion yuan [4]. - New loans in Q1 2025 amounted to 1.01 trillion yuan, an increase of 0.09 trillion yuan compared to the same period last year [4]. Interest Margin - The interest margin decreased by 11 basis points to 1.29% in Q1 2025, primarily due to a larger decline in asset yields compared to improvements in liability costs [5]. - Estimated asset yield fell by 0.3 percentage points to 3.1%, influenced by a general decline in loan rates and LPR repricing [5]. Non-Interest Income - Non-interest income increased by 18.9% year-on-year, with fee income rising by 2.1% [6]. - Other non-interest income surged by 37.3%, with foreign exchange net losses increasing significantly by 668.5% [6]. Asset Quality - The non-performing loan ratio remained stable at 1.25%, with a provision coverage ratio of 198%, indicating steady asset quality [7]. - The core Tier 1 capital adequacy ratio stood at 11.82%, with total capital adequacy at 17.98% [7]. Profit Forecast - The company forecasts net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be 2404 billion, 2453 billion, and 2477 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.82, 0.83, and 0.84 yuan [8]. - Current stock price corresponds to a price-to-book ratio of 0.64, 0.58, and 0.53 for the respective years, suggesting a "buy" investment rating [8].