石油和化学工业规划院专家展望“十五五”

Group 1 - The "14th Five-Year Plan" for the petrochemical industry faces new challenges, including a fundamental change in the international market environment, which provides a competitive advantage for China's petrochemical industry [2] - The demand for petrochemical products is expected to continue to grow, with significant capacity increases projected for downstream derivatives of polyethylene by 2030 [2] - The dual carbon constraints present both challenges and opportunities, emphasizing the material properties of oil, while high-end and differentiated demand will drive industry growth [2] Group 2 - The domestic carbon peak requirements for the chemical industry necessitate energy-saving and carbon-reduction measures, with green liquid fuels expected to play a significant role in future energy consumption [3] - The development strategy for the industry includes a phased approach to green methanol, green ammonia, biodiesel, and low-carbon LNG, prioritizing regions based on their green and low-carbon capabilities [3] - The "14th Five-Year Plan" suggests that companies focus on raw material matching, key monomers, core technologies, and market acceptance to enhance product development and market share [3] Group 3 - The development of a "smart carbon management" solution aligns with the concept of smart chemical parks, effectively improving efficiency and reducing carbon emissions in various instances [4] - AI technology enables "smart investment attraction," allowing for precise recommendations and evaluations of chemical projects, thus transforming the investment process [4] - The investment attraction workflow has been restructured to include analysis, on-site research, demand matching, and service operations, supported by an online platform and offline tracking [4]