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搜索霸权动摇、反垄断风暴加剧:花旗与大摩为何仍看多谷歌(GOOGL.US)?
AlphabetAlphabet(US:GOOGL) 智通财经网·2025-05-09 08:52

Core Viewpoint - Citigroup maintains a "Buy" rating for Google (GOOGL.US) with a target price of $200, citing the company's product ecosystem advantages and AI technology innovations as drivers for continued growth in its search business [1] - Morgan Stanley also gives Google an "Overweight" rating with a target price of $185, suggesting that current valuations reflect market concerns about its business, indicating potential for upward revaluation [1] Financial Performance - Citigroup forecasts stable revenue and EPS growth for Google from 2024 to 2027, with 2025 quarterly revenue expectations of $33.088 billion, $10.347 billion, $11.353 billion, and $11.988 billion, and EPS expectations of $2.81, $2.14, $2.21, and $2.43 respectively [2] - Morgan Stanley projects Google's operating profits for 2025-2027 to be $127.605 billion, $141.125 billion, and $157.231 billion, with net profits of $132.406 billion, $145.725 billion, and $161.131 billion, and EPS of $10.79, $10.34, and $10.94 respectively [2] Competitive Advantages - Morgan Stanley notes that despite competition and macro pressures, Google's scale and advantages are likely to sustain growth in search advertising revenue, primarily driven by its AdWords auction model [3] - Citigroup emphasizes Google's strong ecosystem, with 15 products having over 500 million monthly active users, which helps attract users to its search services [3] Challenges and Risks - Google faces challenges from competitors like Apple and emerging AI products such as ChatGPT, which pose potential threats to its search business [3][4] - Regulatory pressures and antitrust investigations in the U.S. and Europe may adversely affect Google's business and financial performance [4] - Economic uncertainties could impact advertising market demand, which is a major revenue source for Google, potentially leading to budget cuts in advertising spending by businesses [4] Future Outlook - Both investment banks are optimistic about Google's AI initiatives and long-term growth potential, suggesting that investments in AI technology will drive innovation across products and services, reinforcing its market position [5]