特朗普又反悔？这次要推动上调“超级富豪税”

Core Viewpoint - President Trump is considering raising the highest personal income tax rate for individuals earning over $2.5 million from 37% to 39.6%, despite previous opposition due to concerns about wealthy individuals leaving the country and political backlash [2][3]. Group 1: Tax Policy Considerations - Trump privately urged House Speaker Mike Johnson to increase the tax rate and close loopholes for Wall Street investors, indicating a potential shift in tax policy [3]. - The Republican Party is reportedly drafting a new tax cut bill, aiming for passage in the House by the end of May, but Trump's previous rejection of the tax increase reflects his concerns about its potential negative impact [3][4]. - The proposed increase in the "super-rich tax" has sparked internal debate within the Republican Party, with some members advocating for the tax hike to counteract accusations of favoring the wealthy [6]. Group 2: Opposition and Concerns - Key Republican figures, including Johnson and Gingrich, along with business groups, oppose the tax increase, fearing it could lead to significant political repercussions for the party [7][8]. - Analysts suggest that raising taxes on the wealthy contradicts the Republican Party's long-standing economic principles, indicating a shift in the party's voter base and a search for funding sources due to fiscal gaps created by previous tax cuts [8]. Group 3: Economic Impact Analysis - A recent analysis by the Tax Foundation estimates that raising the highest tax rate could generate $409 billion over the next decade but may also reduce incentives for work and investment, negatively affecting GDP growth [9]. - The proposed tax rate of 39.6%, when combined with state taxes, could result in a marginal effective tax rate exceeding 50% for many individuals [10]. - The success of this tax proposal within the Republican Party will test Trump's influence, with some party members expressing skepticism about the proposal's viability [11].