中资离岸债风控双周报：一级市场发行趋缓，二级市场多数下行

Primary Market - In the past two weeks (April 28, 2025 - May 9, 2025), a total of 23 offshore bonds were issued by Chinese entities, including 4 RMB bonds, 8 USD bonds, 9 HKD bonds, and 2 EUR bonds, with issuance scales of 1.716 billion RMB, 582.57 million USD, 145.156 billion HKD, and 16 million EUR respectively [2] - The largest single issuance in the RMB bond market was 1 billion RMB by Hong Kong and China Gas Company Limited, while the highest coupon rate was 6.5% issued by Neijiang Investment Holding Group Co., Ltd [2] - In the USD bond market, the largest single issuance was 100 million USD, with three bonds reaching this scale, issued by Industrial and Commercial Bank of China London Branch, China Construction Bank, and Zhongyuan Asset Management Co., Ltd. The highest coupon rate was 7.6% issued by Xianning Urban Development Group Co., Ltd [2] Secondary Market Overview - In the past two weeks, the yield on Chinese USD bonds mostly declined. As of May 9, 2025, the Markit iBoxx Chinese USD Bond Composite Index fell by 0.17% to 241.03, while the investment-grade USD bond index decreased by 0.24% to 233.84, and the high-yield USD bond index dropped by 0.31% to 235.76 [3] - The real estate USD bond index increased by 0.53% to 179.64, while the city investment USD bond index rose by 0.11% to 148.21, and the financial USD bond index slightly increased by 0.03% to 281.54 [3] Price Movements - The largest weekly price increase among Chinese offshore bonds was for the bond issued by Zhengrong Real Estate Group Co., Ltd., which rose by 164.85% to 1.03 [4] - The largest weekly price decrease was for the bond issued by Peng Bo Telecom Media Group Co., Ltd., which fell by 74.43% to 1.95 [5] Benchmark Spread - As of May 9, 2025, the spread between the 10-year benchmark government bonds of China and the US widened to 275.98 basis points, an increase of 22.46 basis points since April 30, 2025 [6] Rating Changes - On April 30, 2025, China Chengxin International Credit Rating Co. withdrew the long-term credit rating of "BBBg-" for Longyou County State-owned Assets Management Co., Ltd. due to commercial reasons [9] - Moody's maintained the "A2" issuer rating for China State Construction Engineering Corporation, changing the outlook from "stable" to "negative" [9] - On May 6, 2025, United Ratings terminated the credit rating for Suining Xingye Investment Group Co., Ltd. [9] Default and Extension - Zhongjun Group announced it would likely be unable to repay the principal and interest of the CHINSC 7 05/02/25 bond on time, leading to its delisting on May 2, 2025 [10] Domestic News - The interbank bond market officially launched technology innovation bonds, with 36 companies announcing a total issuance of 21 billion RMB as of May 8, 2025 [12] - The total scale of bonds issued and listed by financial institutions in Macau exceeded 900 billion MOP, with a year-on-year growth of 25.7% [13] - Starting May 6, 2025, the London Clearing House began accepting offshore Chinese government bonds as eligible non-cash collateral [14] Overseas News - The Federal Reserve decided to maintain the benchmark interest rate at 4.25%-4.50%, leading to a recovery in US Treasury trading sentiment [15] - The Bank of England announced a 25 basis point reduction in the benchmark interest rate to 4.25% on May 8, 2025 [17] Offshore Debt Alerts - Country Garden extended the deadline for its restructuring support agreement fee to June 6, 2025, with over 50% of public noteholders participating [18] - Aoyuan Group plans to hold a bondholder meeting to adjust the repayment scheme for "H20 Aoyuan 2" [19] - CIFI Group announced the sale of part of its assets to prioritize repayment of "H21 CIFI 3" bondholders [20] - Vanke decided to fully redeem its domestic bonds "20 Vanke 06" and "22 Vanke 03," totaling 1.55 billion RMB [21] - Poly Real Estate reported a contract sales amount of 564 million RMB for April 2025 [22]