和讯投顾彭根：为什么说市场向上的概率大？

Market Overview - A-shares are expected to face a significant turning point on the upcoming Monday, which will be a moment for directional choice [1] - If A-shares choose an upward direction, it will open up further upward space [1] US Market Analysis - The Nasdaq index is at a critical decision point, having rebounded to the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level from a previous decline [2] - If the Nasdaq encounters resistance at this level and falls back, it may indicate a potential for significant downward movement [2] - Conversely, if the Nasdaq breaks through the 0.618 level and continues to rise, it could suggest a V-shaped reversal and a return to previous highs [3] A-share Technical Analysis - A-shares are currently in a technical deadlock, with a potential breakout point at the upper triangle of the index [4] - A breakout above this triangle could lead to an upward movement, while a downward adjustment could break multiple support lines, including the 5-day, 60-day, and 120-day moving averages [4][5] - The probability of an upward movement in A-shares is considered higher based on the wave structure analysis, indicating the end of a lengthy adjustment period and the beginning of a new upward trend [5]