Group 1 - The recent market rebound is seen as the end of the 2025 bear market, but this bull market will be characterized by slow and volatile progress rather than sharp increases [1] - The strategist Julian Emanuel compares the current market turmoil to the panic during the 1998 Long-Term Capital Management crisis, noting that the rapid recovery seen then is unlikely due to persistent inflation and the Federal Reserve's cautious stance [1] - The S&P 500 index is projected to reach 5600 by year-end, contingent on final tariff rates remaining between 15%-17%, which is still high compared to historical standards [1] Group 2 - A tactical investment strategy is recommended, focusing on buying quality laggard stocks in communication services, consumer discretionary, and technology sectors while reducing exposure to high-momentum stocks lacking profit support [1] - The team suggests using a September SPY options collar strategy to hedge risks, indicating a cautious approach to new investments [2] - Key sentiment indicators show signs of capitulation among investors, with 81% of clients believing a recession is imminent, which often signals a market turning point [2] Group 3 - The "anti-gravity stocks" list includes high-momentum, low-repurchase, and sentiment-sensitive stocks that are recommended for reduction at high prices, such as Tesla, Boeing, and Realty Income [3]
Evercore ISI:美股熊市已经结束,关税阴影下将迎来“马拉松式”牛市
智通财经网·2025-05-12 00:51