Group 1: CPI and PPI Trends - In April, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) shifted from a month-on-month decline of 0.4% to an increase of 0.1%, while the year-on-year CPI decreased by 0.1%, maintaining the same decline as the previous month [1] - The core CPI increased by 0.2% month-on-month and rose by 0.5% year-on-year, indicating stable growth [1][2] - The Producer Price Index (PPI) fell by 0.4% month-on-month and decreased by 2.7% year-on-year, with the decline expanding by 0.2 percentage points compared to the previous month [1][4] Group 2: Influencing Factors on Prices - The rise in CPI was primarily driven by increases in food and travel service prices, with food prices up by 0.2% month-on-month, exceeding seasonal levels by 1.4 percentage points [2] - International commodity price declines, particularly in oil and gas, have negatively impacted domestic prices, contributing to the PPI's downward trend [1][4] - The impact of U.S. tariff policies has led to a decrease in international crude oil and metal prices, which has been transmitted to domestic industries [4][5] Group 3: Future Outlook - Analysts expect PPI to remain under pressure due to tariff issues, while CPI may experience a mild recovery driven by demand rebound and seasonal food price stabilization [1][5] - The implementation of macroeconomic policies aimed at boosting consumption and investment is anticipated to positively influence certain sectors, leading to price increases in high-tech industries [5] - Despite external pressures, domestic policies are expected to support a reasonable price level, with a slight narrowing of PPI's year-on-year decline projected for the second quarter [5]
核心消费价格指数涨幅稳定 外部冲击下国内经济韧性凸显
Jin Rong Shi Bao·2025-05-12 01:47