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智库报告:战略腹地建设可释放数万亿美元增长潜能
Di Yi Cai Jing·2025-05-12 04:03

Core Insights - The report emphasizes the need to elevate the construction of China's "Great Inland" as a national strategy, aiming to activate the potential of inland markets and create a virtuous cycle of development that permeates from coastal areas to inland regions and from cities to rural areas [1][4] - The "Great Inland Strategy" focuses on ten provinces and cities, covering over 500 million people and accounting for more than 30% of the national economic output, thereby restructuring the economic landscape to prioritize inland growth [2][3] Economic Context - The report highlights the shift towards an internal demand-driven economy in China, as traditional investment-driven growth faces diminishing returns and increasing debt pressures, with domestic consumption contributing over 80% to economic growth in the past five years [1][4] - The current economic environment, marked by trade fragmentation and external uncertainties, necessitates a strategic pivot towards enhancing domestic demand to mitigate external shocks [1][2] Structural Framework - The "Great Inland" is defined through a three-tier structure: the core layer (the "Inland Triangle" of Chengdu-Chongqing and Xi'an), the secondary layer (urban clusters including Zhengzhou, Wuhan, and others), and the extended layer that connects these urban clusters across the ten provinces [2][3] - This structure aims to facilitate resource integration and functional transmission from core strategic points to broader regions, leveraging the large-scale population and market advantages of the ten provinces [3] Growth Potential - The report projects significant growth potential for the "Great Inland," estimating that the region could release trillions of dollars in economic growth as it transitions towards a modernized economy with per capita GDP expected to rise to between $20,000 and $30,000 [4] - The diverse consumption culture and preferences in the "Great Inland" are seen as key drivers for upgrading domestic demand, with the region's historical and cultural resources further stimulating consumption growth [3][4]