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安图生物(603658):国内发光业务承压 海外高速增长

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a slight increase in revenue for 2024 but a decline in net profit, indicating challenges in the domestic market while experiencing growth overseas [1][2]. Financial Performance - 2024 total revenue reached 4.471 billion yuan, up 0.62% - Net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.194 billion yuan, down 1.89% - Net profit excluding non-recurring items was 1.099 billion yuan, down 7.30% - Q1 2025 revenue was 996 million yuan, down 8.56% - Q1 2025 net profit attributable to shareholders was 270 million yuan, down 16.76% - Q1 2025 net profit excluding non-recurring items was 257 million yuan, down 18.19% - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 1.26 yuan per share (before tax) [1]. Business Segment Analysis - Immunodiagnostics revenue was 2.556 billion yuan, up 2.91%, with a gross margin of 80.67%, up 0.59 percentage points - Microbiology testing revenue was 361 million yuan, up 11.48%, with a gross margin of 48.89%, up 3.81 percentage points - Biochemical testing revenue was 222 million yuan, down 11.21%, with a gross margin of 61.04%, down 2.34 percentage points - Molecular diagnostics revenue was 35 million yuan, up 101.01%, with a gross margin of 68.66%, up 9.59 percentage points - Testing instruments revenue was 354 million yuan, up 17.10%, with a gross margin of 39.39%, up 5.02 percentage points - Overall gross margin for 2024 was 65.41%, up 0.34 percentage points [2]. Geographic Performance - Domestic revenue was 4.185 billion yuan, down 1.16% - Overseas revenue was 286 million yuan, up 36.57% - Domestic business faced pressure due to price reductions from centralized procurement, DRG policy changes, and medical fee adjustments, while overseas business showed strong growth [2]. Research and Development - R&D expense ratio for 2024 was 16.37%, up 1.60 percentage points - New product launches included the AutoChem B2000 and B8000 series, enhancing the biochemical product line - The Autof T series for microbiological mass spectrometry and AutoChrom X1/Automs TQ6000 IVD System were introduced to enrich the high-end product line - The subsidiary Sikun Bio launched three gene sequencers and an automated pathogen analysis system, achieving sales in the research field [3]. Investment Outlook - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 4.66 billion, 5.29 billion, and 6.10 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 4.2%, 13.5%, and 15.3% - Net profit projections for 2025-2027 are 1.26 billion, 1.47 billion, and 1.73 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 5.9%, 16.3%, and 17.5% - EPS projections are 2.21, 2.57, and 3.02 yuan, with corresponding PE ratios of 18, 15, and 13 times - Based on comparable company valuations, a target price of approximately 49 yuan is set for 2025, maintaining a "recommended" rating [4].