期货市场押注美联储短期内不会降息

Core Viewpoint - The futures market indicates a strong belief that the Federal Reserve will not lower interest rates in the short term, with a significant shift in sentiment compared to previous months [1] Group 1: Market Sentiment - A month ago, the futures market reflected only a 20% chance that the Federal Reserve would maintain stable interest rates in the first half of the year [1] - Concerns over trade policy chaos were previously expected to weaken the economy, prompting the Federal Reserve to adopt a more accommodative policy [1] - Currently, the probability of no rate cut by the end of June is approximately 90% [1]