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GDP增量为负,这些省域“第二城”怎么了?
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen·2025-05-12 15:11

Economic Overview - In the first quarter of this year, China's economy continued to show a stable recovery, with a year-on-year growth of 5.4%, surpassing last year's overall growth of 5% and the first quarter's growth of 5.3% [1] - Economic performance varied across cities, with regions like Yulin, Luoyang, Qujing, and Liuzhou experiencing negative GDP growth compared to the same period last year [1] City-Specific Analysis Yulin: Energy Cycle - Yulin's GDP has grown from over 200 billion to over 700 billion in the past decade, with a peak increase of over 100 billion in a single year [6] - The city's economy is heavily reliant on fossil energy, contributing significantly to its GDP, with 80% of Shaanxi's coal and 70% of its natural gas produced in Yulin [9] - In Q1, Yulin's actual GDP growth was 5.6%, but nominal GDP decreased by 0.42%, largely due to falling coal prices [9] Luoyang: Industrial Restructuring - Luoyang's GDP for Q1 was 135.54 billion, showing a year-on-year growth of 5.9%, but a decrease of nearly 1.9 billion compared to the same period last year [10] - The city has faced continuous negative GDP growth for two consecutive years, attributed to declining prices in various sectors [10][11] - Luoyang's traditional industries, such as steel and chemicals, are under pressure from price declines, necessitating a shift towards high-value industries [13] Qujing: Awaiting Recovery - Qujing's GDP has declined for two consecutive years, with a reduction of 10.9 billion in Q1 [17] - The city, traditionally reliant on resource-based industries, is facing challenges as both traditional and emerging sectors experience downturns [17] - Corruption issues have also impacted local economic development, with significant investigations into local officials [17] Liuzhou: Industrial Revival - Liuzhou's GDP for Q1 was 72.003 billion, with a year-on-year growth of 4.6%, but a decrease of 1.62 billion compared to last year [19] - The city has seen a decline in several key industrial outputs, indicating a stagnation in economic growth since 2018 [20][22] - Liuzhou is attempting to transition from traditional industries to emerging sectors like new energy and materials, but the pace of change is slow [25][26]