鹏华基金陈龙：国防军工进入主升行情，粮食板块迎“战略红利”

Group 1: Defense and Military Industry - The defense and military industry is experiencing a historic opportunity due to three overlapping turning points: accelerated order replenishment, the finalization of the 14th Five-Year Plan, and the end of the inventory destocking cycle in the aviation engine sector [2][3] - The demand for military equipment, such as missiles and long-range artillery, is seeing a historical increase as the 14th Five-Year Plan approaches its conclusion, indicating a strong recovery in industry prosperity [2] - The upcoming 15th Five-Year Plan is expected to bring new policy dividends, further enhancing growth prospects for the industry [2] - Investment opportunities are identified in low-altitude economy and military intelligence sectors, which are expected to benefit from structural shifts in military spending and have long-term growth potential in military trade exports [2] Group 2: Food Security Sector - Food security is recognized as a cornerstone of national security, with strategic synergies between defense and food security [3] - The government is accelerating agricultural upgrades through policies such as increased subsidies for agricultural machinery and the promotion of seed technology, which are expected to enhance crop yields and reduce costs [3] - The food industry is anticipated to benefit from a dual drive of policy support and technological upgrades, with a focus on the industrialization of biological breeding and leading seed companies [3] - The food sector is entering a stabilization phase, with domestic grain prices bottoming out, providing support for valuation recovery [3] Group 3: Investment Tools and Strategies - The rapid development of ETFs in recent years offers ordinary investors efficient ways to invest in national security themes, particularly in defense and food sectors [4] - The defense ETF focuses on high-prosperity segments such as aerospace and military enterprises, while the food ETF targets seed revitalization and agricultural machinery, reinforcing food security [4] - Investors are advised to consider their risk tolerance and appropriately allocate between these two types of ETFs to enhance portfolio stability and achieve sustainable returns over the long term [4]