妃子笑10元3斤？广州荔枝产量翻倍，价格比去年低30%

Core Insights - The price of lychee in Guangdong has significantly dropped, with wholesale prices falling approximately 40% compared to the same period last month, leading to predictions of retail prices entering the "10 yuan for 3 jin" range [1][8] - This year is expected to be a bumper harvest for lychee, with production increasing by about 30% compared to last year, and Guangzhou's lychee production projected to reach around 120,000 tons, a 97% increase from the previous year [2][4] Price Trends - Current retail prices for lychee are generally around 10 yuan per jin, with potential for further decline as more varieties enter the market [5][8] - The average price for lychee has shown a downward trend, with reference prices dropping from 30 yuan per kilogram to 25.5 yuan per kilogram in early May [5][6] Production Forecast - Guangdong's total lychee production is expected to be substantial, with estimates of 99,000 tons from both the western and eastern regions, and 14,000 tons from the Pearl River Delta region [2] - High production is anticipated in Gaozhou, with a forecast of over 280,000 tons for 2025, marking a significant increase from 2024 [4] Market Dynamics - The influx of various lychee varieties in late May and June is expected to alter supply-demand dynamics, leading to further price reductions [8] - E-commerce platforms are already seeing increased sales, with a reported 128% week-on-week growth in lychee sales [1][8] Logistics and Distribution - Logistics companies are enhancing their transportation capabilities for lychee, implementing measures to expedite delivery times, which may contribute to ongoing price pressures [8]