Group 1 - The macroeconomic consensus reached between China and the US has positively impacted the container shipping index (European route), leading to a significant price increase in the futures contracts, with a cumulative rise of 32% this week, surpassing the 1700-point mark, reaching a one-month high [2] - The A-share shipping and logistics sectors have seen a continuous rise, with companies like COSCO Shipping Holdings hitting the daily limit, and several others experiencing significant gains, indicating a strong market response [5] - There is a sense of urgency among shipping companies to capitalize on a 90-day window before potential trade policy uncertainties arise, leading to a new wave of shipping demand [5][6] Group 2 - The shipping market is experiencing tight capacity, particularly on the US route, with many shipping companies having previously reduced their capacity due to high tariffs, resulting in a current state of near "full capacity" [8] - Analysts predict that the easing of tariffs may trigger a backlog of exports, with many companies preparing for a surge in shipping demand, especially ahead of significant retail events like Amazon's membership day in July [9] - The European route is facing oversupply pressure due to the reallocation of vessels from the US route, which has led to a decline in freight rates during the off-peak season [10][11] Group 3 - The potential for a rebound in freight rates on the European route is contingent on the recovery of shipping demand on the US route and the overall market dynamics, with current forecasts suggesting that the average capacity for June to August will still be higher than the previous year [11] - The shipping industry is closely monitoring port congestion as a key indicator for future capacity adjustments and pricing strategies, with expectations that the movement of vessels between routes will depend on actual demand and operational efficiencies [11]