降价40% 荔枝大量上市 销售商：还会再降！

Core Viewpoint - The current season for lychee has arrived, with prices significantly dropping due to increased supply from major production areas, leading to a forecast of further price reductions as more lychees come to market [1][2][3]. Price Trends - The price of lychee has decreased by approximately 40% compared to the initial market entry, with current prices ranging from 25 to 30 yuan per kilogram for the main varieties, Feizixiao and Baitangying [1][2]. - In Changsha, the price of early-season lychee has dropped from 70 yuan per kilogram to around 30 yuan, indicating a significant price reduction as supply increases [2]. - In Xiamen, the price of lychee has halved year-on-year, with promotional prices as low as 7.98 yuan for 250-gram packages, reflecting a rapid decline in prices over a short period [3]. Supply Factors - The increase in lychee supply is attributed to a bumper harvest expected in 2025, following a low production year in 2024, with Guangdong's production alone estimated at 2.12 million tons [3]. - Favorable weather conditions, including a warm and dry winter, have contributed to higher flowering and fruiting rates for lychee trees this year [3]. Transportation and Market Dynamics - The shift from air transport to land transport for lychee distribution has significantly reduced logistics costs, with cold chain trucks now delivering directly from orchards to markets, cutting costs by half [3]. - The entry of more e-commerce platforms and community group buying initiatives has further driven down prices, allowing consumers to purchase lychee at lower "farm gate" prices [3].