《中美联合声明》落地48小时：“抢运潮”会出现吗？

Core Viewpoint - The recent U.S.-China trade negotiations have led to a significant reduction in tariffs, with the U.S. canceling 91% of additional tariffs and China reciprocating, which has revitalized the foreign trade sector and created a "window period" for businesses to resume operations and shipments [2][3][4]. Group 1: Market Reactions - Following the announcement of the joint statement, there has been a surge in inquiries and orders from U.S. clients who previously postponed orders due to tariffs, indicating a quick recovery in the foreign trade market [2][4]. - The electronics market in Shenzhen has seen a rapid return to activity, with prices for certain components, such as CPUs, dropping significantly, reflecting a shift in market dynamics [3][4]. - Companies are eager to capitalize on the 90-day window to resume shipments, with many reporting an increase in demand for shipping services [4][5]. Group 2: Shipping and Logistics - There is an expectation of a "rush" in shipping activities as companies aim to maximize their exports during the temporary tariff relief period, although some logistics providers have not yet observed a significant increase in shipping volumes [5]. - Freightos analysis indicates that while shipping rates may rise due to increased demand, they are unlikely to reach the high levels seen in the previous year [5]. - Air freight demand is also anticipated to rebound as tariffs decrease, following a period of low demand due to previous high tariffs [5]. Group 3: Industry-Specific Responses - Different industries are responding variably to the tariff changes, with some companies, like those in the consumer electronics sector, expressing caution due to longer production and shipping cycles [7]. - Companies with established overseas warehouses have a buffer against immediate tariff impacts, allowing them to adjust strategies without immediate pressure [7]. - The impact of the tariff changes varies by industry, with some sectors, such as the solar energy industry, viewing the changes as stabilizing rather than transformative [8][9]. Group 4: U.S. Market Reactions - U.S. companies are also reacting quickly, with executives from various sectors indicating plans to expedite shipments of goods previously held up by tariffs [6]. - Industry associations in the U.S. have welcomed the tariff reductions but emphasize the need for long-term, stable trade policies to avoid future disruptions [9][10].