4月社融、M2增速加快！一揽子金融政策将推动金融总量增速持续上行

Group 1 - The central bank released April financial data showing that new RMB loans in April were 280 billion yuan, a decrease of 450 billion yuan year-on-year, influenced by hidden debt replacement and seasonal overdrafts [1][2] - The social financing scale increased by 1.16 trillion yuan in April, significantly up by 1.22 trillion yuan year-on-year, with the end-of-month social financing stock growing by 8.7% year-on-year [1][3] - M2 money supply grew by 8% year-on-year at the end of April, which is 1 percentage point higher than the previous month, indicating enhanced financial support for the real economy [1][3] Group 2 - The acceleration in government bond issuance is the primary driver for the increase in social financing growth, with net financing from government bonds exceeding 500 billion yuan in the first four months, up by approximately 360 billion yuan year-on-year [3] - In April, the issuance of special government bonds and refinancing bonds for replacing hidden debts contributed to a net financing of about 970 billion yuan, raising social financing growth by approximately 0.3 percentage points [3] - The reduction in bond yields in April encouraged enterprises to increase bond financing, thereby lowering overall financing costs [3] Group 3 - A reserve requirement ratio cut of 0.5 percentage points was implemented, expected to release about 1 trillion yuan in long-term liquidity, enhancing credit supply capabilities in specific sectors like automotive finance and financial leasing [4] - Analysts anticipate that monetary policy will remain "appropriately loose" in the second half of the year, with expectations for continued interest rate cuts and an increase in new loans and social financing [4]