“三投资”方法论 | 公募基金篇二 主被动基金协同助力“三投资”

Core Viewpoint - The shift from actively managed equity funds to passive investment strategies, particularly ETFs, has been significant, with passive investment now surpassing active equity products in scale as of the first quarter of this year [1][2]. Group 1: Market Trends - Active equity funds, once dominant in the public fund market, have faced declining performance and scale due to frequent market style switches and structural market conditions, leading to a reduction in their total scale to 3.49 trillion yuan, down 190.3 billion yuan year-on-year [2]. - In contrast, the scale of index products has increased to 3.5 trillion yuan, marking a year-on-year growth of 53%, and surpassing active equity funds by over 12 billion yuan [2]. - The ETF market has shown remarkable growth, reaching a scale of 4.05 trillion yuan by the end of April, with a notable acceleration in growth rates over recent years [2]. Group 2: Investor Behavior - Institutional investors, including social security funds and insurance capital, along with individual investors, are increasingly favoring ETFs, which are perceived as simpler and more transparent investment options [3]. - The poor performance of active equity products in recent years has led investors to prefer ETFs, which offer advantages such as diversification, flexibility, low entry barriers, transparency, and lower fees [3]. Group 3: Future Outlook - Active management is expected to continue to play a significant role, as it can identify mispriced opportunities in the market, especially in a non-efficient market [4]. - The future market environment is seen as favorable for active funds, with expectations of improved performance driven by China's economic resilience and ongoing structural opportunities [7]. - Investment strategies such as the "core + satellite" approach are recommended, where 70% of funds are allocated to broad-based or balanced active funds, and 30% to industry ETFs or cross-border products to capture opportunities [7].