关税风暴下的楼市困局！经济学家警告：2025或成美国房地产“迷失之年”

Group 1: Economic Impact on Real Estate - Trump's tariff policies may reignite inflation and lead to a recession in the U.S., putting significant pressure on the real estate market [1] - Redfin's chief economist, Daryl Fairweather, predicts that 2023 could be another lost year for the real estate market due to supply-demand imbalances [1] - Housing inventory remains tight, and developers face challenges due to rising construction material costs and labor shortages caused by immigration policies [1][2] Group 2: Construction Costs and Affordability - The cost of building materials has increased, with key items like bathroom fixtures and tiles affected by a 10% global tariff [2] - Although some materials like copper and lumber have tariff exemptions, the additional costs for imported appliances will ultimately be borne by consumers [3] - The affordability crisis in housing is exacerbated by rising costs, making homeownership increasingly unattainable for many Americans [2] Group 3: Regional Insights and Solutions - Fairweather suggests that the Midwest may represent the last "price valley" for potential homeowners, but relocation is not feasible for those needing to settle in high-cost areas [4] - The responsibility for housing policy lies primarily with local governments, allowing citizens to influence housing supply through participation in local planning committees [5] - Engaging in local planning hearings is seen as a constructive step towards improving housing affordability for all social classes [5]