美国出现圣诞节提前囤货潮！港口吞吐受考验

Group 1 - The 90-day tariff suspension has led U.S. companies to stockpile goods for Black Friday and Christmas, creating a demand "tug-of-war" for ports and shipping companies [1] - Following the announcement of tariff increases by Trump in April, container ship orders from China to the U.S. have sharply declined, putting significant pressure on port throughput capacity due to a rapid increase in import volumes [1] - U.S. retailers typically arrange imports for Black Friday and Christmas between July and mid-October, but the tariff suspension agreement expiring on August 10 is prompting early orders from importers [1] Group 2 - Economists predict that despite a trade agreement, U.S. economic growth will be significantly lower this year due to rising price pressures and severe policy uncertainty [2] - Freightos indicates that the current 30% tariff level is likely to encourage shippers to load containers early to prepare for potential tariff increases in August, which will stress freight rates and port throughput capacity [2] - Freightos forecasts that shipping costs will remain lower than last year's peak season rates, with costs for a 40-foot container to the U.S. West Coast at $8,000 and to the East Coast at over $9,800, due to fleet expansion and increased competition among new shipping alliances [2]