Xin Lang Zheng Quan·2025-05-15 10:22Core Insights - The dairy industry is experiencing a significant downturn in 2024, with 19 listed dairy companies in A-shares reporting a total revenue of 184.83 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 7.44% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders dropped from 13.10 billion yuan to 9.58 billion yuan, with 13 companies reporting a decline in net profit [1] - Key factors suppressing the dairy industry include oversupply, weakened demand, and high inventory levels, leading to a continuous decline in fresh milk prices and intensified competition [1] Revenue and Profitability - 14 out of 19 dairy companies reported a decline in revenue, compared to only 6 the previous year [1] - The median net profit margin for listed dairy companies was only 1.98%, down 2.01 percentage points from the previous year [4] - The highest net profit margins were recorded by Sunshine Dairy (21.84%), Panda Dairy (13.32%), and Huirong Technology (10.18%) [4] Gross Margin Analysis - 12 companies experienced a decline in gross margin, with the most significant drops seen in Western Pastoral, Beingmate, and Zhuangyuan Pastoral [3] - The median gross margin for the 19 listed dairy companies was 25.31%, an increase of 2.18 percentage points from the previous year [2] - Seven companies saw an increase in gross margin, with the most notable improvements from Junyao Health, Huangshi Group, Panda Dairy, and Pinwa Food [2] Market Trends - The dairy industry index has seen a decline of over 50% from its peak in January 2021 to the low in September 2024, but there has been a noticeable increase since September 2024 [1] - The market anticipates that upstream destocking will lead to a bottoming out of raw milk prices, alongside policies promoting fertility to boost demand [1] Company-Specific Performance - Panda Dairy, a leader in the condensed milk segment, reported a revenue decline of 19.29% last year, with a further 8.27% drop in the first quarter of 2024, despite an increase in gross margin due to lower raw material costs [2] - Bright Dairy, a typical regional dairy company, has seen a decline in revenue since 2022, with a low gross margin of around 19%, significantly below that of Yili [5]