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催化事件不断、机构密集调研,固态电池仍面临产业化瓶颈
Di Yi Cai Jing·2025-05-15 13:08

Core Viewpoint - The solid-state battery industry faces significant challenges in commercialization, including immature supply chains, higher costs compared to lithium batteries, and reliance on imported key materials [1][5][6] Group 1: Industry Developments - Recent events have catalyzed interest in solid-state batteries, with companies like Better Ray (贝特瑞) launching new materials and Guoxuan High-Tech (国轩高科) expected to unveil new products at an upcoming conference [1][2] - Institutional investors have been actively visiting companies in the solid-state battery supply chain, with many firms projecting 2027 as the timeline for mass production [1][3] Group 2: Production and Technology - Battery manufacturers generally anticipate 2027 for the scale-up of solid-state battery production, with companies like CATL (宁德时代) and Guoxuan High-Tech aiming for small batch production and testing by that year [3][4] - The solid-state battery production cost is projected to decrease significantly but will still be five times higher than conventional lithium-ion batteries, with S&P forecasting a cost of USD 500/kWh by 2025 [5][6] Group 3: Market Dynamics - The solid-state battery sector is currently divided into two camps: those pursuing semi-solid-state solutions aiming for mass production within two years, and those committed to all-solid-state technologies targeting the post-2027 market [5][6] - The materials segment is still in a phase of multiple technological approaches, with no single method demonstrating a clear cost or efficiency advantage [5][6] Group 4: Future Outlook - Analysts predict that by 2025, there will be batch deliveries of semi-solid-state batteries and accelerated development of all-solid-state solutions, with the automotive industry entering a competitive phase [7]