国际观察｜“画饼”还是寻突破？特朗普宣布解除对叙制裁有何考量

Core Viewpoint - President Trump announced the intention to lift sanctions on Syria during his visit to Saudi Arabia, aiming to strengthen relations with Gulf countries and seek diplomatic breakthroughs in the Middle East [1][2]. Group 1: Announcement and Context - Trump made the announcement after discussions with Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman and Turkish President Erdogan regarding the situation in Syria [2]. - The U.S. has imposed sanctions on Syria since 1979, with measures intensifying after the Syrian crisis began in 2011, including the 2019 Caesar Syria Civilian Protection Act [2]. Group 2: Motivations Behind the Decision - Analysts suggest that the decision to lift sanctions is partly to align with Gulf nations like Saudi Arabia, which have been advocating for the lifting of sanctions [3]. - The move is also seen as an attempt to achieve a diplomatic victory in the Middle East, where the Trump administration has faced limited success [3]. Group 3: Implications for Syria - Lifting sanctions is viewed as a necessary step for Syria to recover from economic hardships, with approximately 90% of the population currently living in poverty [3]. - The reconstruction of Syria is estimated to require hundreds of billions of dollars, and lifting sanctions could improve the investment environment [3]. Group 4: Challenges and Legislative Hurdles - Analysts indicate that the process of lifting sanctions may be complex and lengthy, potentially requiring Congressional approval for certain measures [4]. - The specific methods for lifting the sanctions remain unclear, suggesting that the implementation may not be straightforward [4]. Group 5: Regional Reactions and Concerns - The announcement is likely to provoke dissatisfaction and concern from Israel, which has historically been wary of the Syrian regime [5][6]. - There are indications of growing divergences between U.S. and Israeli interests in regional affairs, as the U.S. has engaged in negotiations and agreements that bypass Israel [7].