What Analyst Projections for Key Metrics Reveal About Eagle Materials (EXP) Q4 Earnings

Core Viewpoint - Analysts forecast that Eagle Materials (EXP) will report quarterly earnings of $2.34 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 4.5%, with revenues expected to reach $477.78 million, a slight increase of 0.2% compared to the previous year [1]. Earnings Estimates - Over the past 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate has been adjusted downward by 3.3%, indicating a reassessment by analysts [2]. - Revisions to earnings estimates are crucial for predicting investor actions, as empirical research shows a strong correlation between earnings estimate trends and short-term stock performance [3]. Revenue Estimates - The consensus estimate for 'Revenue- Heavy Materials- Concrete & Aggregates' is $52.27 million, indicating a year-over-year change of +7.3% [5]. - 'Revenue- Gypsum Wallboard' is expected to be $207.84 million, suggesting a decline of -1.1% year over year [5]. - 'Revenue- Heavy Materials- Cement (Wholly Owned)' is projected to reach $185.88 million, reflecting a decrease of -1.9% from the previous year [5]. - Total Revenue for Heavy Materials is forecasted at $238.25 million, with a year-over-year change of +0.1% [6]. - 'Revenue- Light Materials- Gypsum Wallboard' is expected to be $198.60 million, indicating a decline of -5.5% year over year [6]. - Total Revenue for Light Materials is estimated at $238.70 million, suggesting no change year over year [7]. Pricing and Earnings Metrics - The Average Net Sales Price for Gypsum Wallboard is projected to be $240.74, compared to $232.62 from the previous year [7]. - The Average Net Sales Price for Cement is expected to reach $157.28, up from $154.59 in the same quarter last year [8]. - Segment Operating Earnings for Light Materials- Gypsum Wallboard is estimated at $81.51 million, down from $82.91 million year over year [9]. - Segment Operating Earnings for Light Materials is projected at $93.69 million, compared to $92.21 million from the previous year [9]. Stock Performance - Shares of Eagle Materials have increased by +8.3% over the past month, compared to a +9% increase in the Zacks S&P 500 composite [9]. - With a Zacks Rank 4 (Sell), Eagle Materials is expected to underperform the overall market in the near future [10].