Arista Networks Gains Analyst Backing On AI Momentum, Strong Deferred Revenue And Demand Visibility

Core Viewpoint - Needham analyst Ryan Koontz maintains a buy rating and a $130 price target for Arista Networks, despite conservative fiscal year guidance that disappointed investors [1] Group 1: Financial Performance and Guidance - Arista Networks reported strong first-quarter results and provided second-quarter guidance, but the fiscal year guidance was conservative [1] - Management raised calendar 2025 revenue guidance to 17$300 million sequentially and $1.4 billion year-over-year in the first quarter of 2025, attributed to new products and AI-related use cases [6] Group 2: Impact of Tariffs and Supply Chain - Proposed tariff policies are estimated to impact gross margins by 100-150 basis points, assuming no further mitigation efforts [3] - Arista Networks has primary manufacturing operations in Mexico and Malaysia, allowing flexibility under USMCA, but significant supply chain changes may take six months [4] - The company is increasing product inventory to buffer against potential future tariffs and plans to leverage its strong balance sheet as a mitigation tool [5] Group 3: Customer Engagement and Demand Visibility - The company has strong visibility for demand through calendar 2025, with no signs of slowdown indicated for calendar 2026 discussions [3] - Recent growth in deferred revenue is partially due to progress with four major AI back-end pilot customers [2] - New customers often take longer to scale consumption, and longer lead times with chips result in larger purchase commitments [6]