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【期货热点追踪】中美贸易缓和预期VS伊朗供应回归预期,原油周线二连涨是陷阱还是转机?
news flash·2025-05-16 05:15

Core Insights - The article discusses the contrasting expectations of easing trade tensions between the U.S. and China versus the anticipated return of Iranian oil supply, which has led to a two-week increase in crude oil prices. The question posed is whether this trend is a trap or a turning point for the market [1] Group 1: Trade Relations - Expectations of improved trade relations between the U.S. and China are influencing market sentiment positively, potentially leading to increased demand for crude oil [1] - The easing of tariffs and trade barriers could stimulate economic activity, further supporting oil prices [1] Group 2: Iranian Oil Supply - The anticipated return of Iranian oil supply is creating uncertainty in the market, as it could lead to an oversupply situation if sanctions are lifted [1] - Analysts are closely monitoring the geopolitical developments regarding Iran, as this could significantly impact global oil prices [1] Group 3: Market Trends - The recent two-week rise in crude oil prices raises questions about the sustainability of this trend amid conflicting supply and demand signals [1] - Market participants are divided on whether the current price increase is a genuine recovery or a temporary spike influenced by external factors [1]