陕鼓动力(601369)：2024年业绩保持稳健增长 气体运营业务贡献新增长引擎

Core Viewpoint - The company reported steady growth in its financial performance for 2024 and Q1 2025, driven by a focus on distributed energy market expansion and customer demand [1][2]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 10.28 billion, a year-on-year increase of 1.3%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.04 billion, up 2.1% [1]. - For Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 2.56 billion, a 2.7% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 250 million, reflecting a 5.6% growth [1]. Profitability - The company's gross margin for 2024 was 22.5%, an increase of 1 percentage point year-on-year, while the net margin was 11.1%, up 0.3 percentage points [1]. - In Q1 2025, the gross margin decreased to 20.5%, down 2.9 percentage points year-on-year, but the net margin increased to 10.90%, up 0.3 percentage points [1]. Expense Ratios - The company's expense ratio for 2024 was 9.2%, an increase of 1.3 percentage points year-on-year, with sales expense ratio at 2.3% (down 0.3 percentage points), management expense ratio at 5.3% (down 0.3 percentage points), and R&D expense ratio at 4% (up 1.3 percentage points) [2]. - Financial expense ratio was -2.5%, an increase of 0.6 percentage points, attributed to increased interest expenses and reduced exchange gains [2]. Industry Insights - The company is a leading manufacturer of axial flow compressors, benefiting from the promising growth potential of compressed air energy storage, which is seen as a key non-electrochemical energy storage technology [2]. - The industrial gas market in China reached approximately 212.9 billion in 2023, with an expected growth to 284.2 billion by 2026, driven by domestic substitution and outsourcing [3]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 1.13 billion, 1.24 billion, and 1.36 billion for 2025-2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 8%, 10%, and 10% respectively, resulting in a compound annual growth rate of 10% [4]. - Corresponding price-to-earnings ratios are expected to be 13.2, 12.0, and 11.0 times for the same period [4].