Jin Rong Jie·2025-05-16 06:55Core Viewpoint - Beike (BEKE.US) reported strong Q1 2025 financial results, exceeding market expectations, with significant growth in both existing and new home transactions, as well as rapid expansion in non-property services [1][2]. Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, Beike achieved a total transaction volume of 843.7 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 34%, and total revenue of 23.3 billion RMB, up 42.4% year-on-year [1]. - The existing home business generated a transaction volume of 580.3 billion RMB, a 28.1% increase year-on-year, with net income of 6.9 billion RMB, up 20.0% [2]. - The new home business saw a transaction volume of 232.2 billion RMB, a 53.0% increase year-on-year, with net income of 8.1 billion RMB, up 64.2% [2]. - Non-property services reported a net income growth of 46.2% year-on-year, accounting for 35.9% of total net income, with rental services net income reaching 5.1 billion RMB, a 93.8% increase [3]. Profitability - Beike's net profit for Q1 2025 was 0.855 billion RMB, a 97.9% increase year-on-year, while adjusted net profit was 1.393 billion RMB, remaining stable year-on-year [3]. - The gross margin decreased from 25.2% in the previous year to 20.7%, attributed to a lower contribution from the higher-margin existing home business and increased fixed salary costs [3]. Market Context - The positive performance is linked to a series of policies aimed at stabilizing the real estate market, which have led to favorable conditions in both new and second-hand home markets [3]. - Beike's CEO expressed confidence in the company's long-term growth strategy and ongoing investments in AI applications [3]. Investor Reaction - Despite the strong performance, Beike's stock fell by 5.29% to $19.16 per share on May 15, 2025, with H-shares also showing a slight decline [4]. - This negative reaction may be related to conservative guidance for Q2 2025, with expected revenue of 26 billion RMB, which is 10% lower than UBS's forecast [5]. Future Outlook - Beike anticipates a conservative growth outlook for Q2 2025, with second-hand home transaction volume expected to remain flat year-on-year and new home transaction volume projected to grow by 10% [5]. - The company expects home decoration and rental income to grow by double digits and 70% year-on-year, respectively [5].