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国内贵金属期货全线上涨 沪金主力涨幅为0.88%
Jin Tou Wang·2025-05-16 07:55

Core Insights - Domestic precious metal futures experienced an overall increase, with Shanghai gold and silver prices rising by 0.88% and 0.61% respectively, while international precious metals saw a decline, with COMEX gold and silver dropping by 0.90% and 0.98% respectively [1][2] Price Movements - As of May 16, 2025, the main contracts for precious metals showed the following prices: - Shanghai Gold: Opened at 747.80 CNY/gram, peaked at 759.20 CNY/gram, and hit a low of 746.44 CNY/gram [2] - Shanghai Silver: Opened at 8054.00 CNY/kg, peaked at 8165.00 CNY/kg, and hit a low of 8052.00 CNY/kg [2] - COMEX Gold: Opened at 3243.50 USD/ounce, peaked at 3255.80 USD/ounce, and hit a low of 3209.20 USD/ounce [2] - COMEX Silver: Opened at 32.80 USD/ounce, peaked at 32.87 USD/ounce, and hit a low of 32.45 USD/ounce [2] Market Sentiment - Tanglewood Total Wealth Management's macro investment strategist indicated that the Trump administration appears to be leaning towards weakening the dollar to enhance the competitiveness of U.S. manufacturing, which could potentially benefit gold prices [3] - The dollar weakened during trading, with reports suggesting discussions between the U.S. and South Korea regarding monetary policy, hinting at a potential softening of the dollar [3] - U.S. Treasury Secretary attempted to reassure market participants that the U.S. is not seeking a weaker dollar, while trade representatives are not planning to include currency commitments in future trade agreements [3] Market Analysis - On May 15, COMEX gold prices rose by 1.74% to 3243.90 USD/ounce, with the latest CME "FedWatch" data indicating a 91.7% probability of maintaining interest rates in June, and an 8.3% chance of a 25 basis point cut [4] - The probabilities for maintaining rates in July stand at 63.2%, with cumulative probabilities for a 25 basis point cut at 34.2% and a 50 basis point cut at 2.6% [4]