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Better U.S.-China Tariff Deal Buy: Amazon vs Nvidia
The Motley Foolยท2025-05-16 09:10

Core Viewpoint - The recent U.S.-China tariff negotiations have significantly influenced stock market movements, with a focus on the implications for major tech companies like Amazon and Nvidia [1][2][12]. Group 1: Tariff Impact on the Market - President Trump's initial tariff plan included double-digit tariffs globally and a 145% tariff on China, causing stock prices to decline due to recession fears [1]. - The suspension of the tariff plan for 90 days allowed for negotiations, leading to a rebound in stock indexes, with the S&P 500 recovering to positive territory for the year [2]. - The initial trade deal between the U.S. and China resulted in a substantial reduction of tariff levels, positively impacting major stock indexes [2]. Group 2: Amazon's Position - Amazon is exposed to tariff risks due to its reliance on imported goods, including products sold through its platform and its cloud computing unit, AWS, which sells AI chips produced abroad [5][6]. - Lower-than-expected tariffs are beneficial for Amazon, as the company has already implemented strategies to mitigate costs, such as early inventory purchases [6]. - Amazon's strong earnings history and growth potential in AI, with AWS achieving a $117 billion annual revenue run rate, position it favorably in the current market environment [8]. Group 3: Nvidia's Position - Nvidia is a leading provider of AI chips and has experienced significant revenue growth, but concerns about tariffs on electronics imports have impacted its stock [9][10]. - The company has initiated plans to invest in U.S. manufacturing to mitigate tariff risks, with mass production expected to ramp up in the next 12 to 15 months [11]. - The reduction in tariff levels allows Nvidia to manage its production strategy more effectively, making it a strong candidate for investment in the current climate [12]. Group 4: Investment Considerations - Both Amazon and Nvidia are currently trading at reasonable valuations, with Nvidia appearing particularly attractive from a valuation perspective [13][15]. - The alleviation of high tariff risks makes both companies solid investment options, but Nvidia is highlighted as the better buy based on valuation metrics [16].